Orange County Housing Summary: November 16, 2021

David Deem

714-997-3486

Dave@DeemTeam.com

 

·       The active listing inventory shed 71 homes in the past two weeks, down 4%, and now totals 1,793 homes, its lowest level since tracking. In October, there were 14% fewer homes that came on the market compared to the 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019), 408 less. Last year, there were 3,843 homes on the market, 2,050 additional homes, or 114% more.

·       Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, decreased by 107 pending sales in the past two weeks, down 4%, and now totals 2,322. Last year, there were 2,799 pending sales, 21% more than today due to a four-month delay in the Spring Market because of COVID.

·       With a similar drop in both supply and demand, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange County listings at the current buying pace, remained unchanged at 23 days in the past couple of weeks, an extremely Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days). It was at 41 days last year, slower than today. 

·       For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an Expected Market Time of 19 days. This range represents 28% of the active inventory and 33% of demand.

·       For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the Expected Market Time is 18 days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 21% of the active inventory and 27% of demand.

·       For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the Expected Market Time is 18 days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 10% of the active inventory and 13% of demand.

·       For homes priced between $1.25 million to $1.5 million, the Expected Market Time is 20 days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 8% of the active inventory and 9% of demand.

·       For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market increased from 24 to 25 days. For homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 54 to 42 days. For homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 126 to 94 days.

·       The luxury end, all homes above $1.5 million, accounts for 33% of the inventory and 18% of demand.

·       Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.6% of all listings and 0.3% of demand. There are only 8 foreclosures and 2 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 10 total distressed homes on the active market, up 1 from two weeks ago. Last year there were 12 total distressed homes on the market, similar to today.

     There were 2,778 closed residential resales in October, 17% less than October 2020’s 3,359 closed sales. For the year, through October, there have been 30,097 closed sales, 23% higher than last year. September marked a 7% drop compared to September 2021. The sales to list price ratio was 100.5% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.29% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.04%. That means that 99.7% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

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