Orange County Housing Summary: July 13, 2021
The active listing inventory increased by 140 homes in the
past two-weeks, up 6%, and now totals 2,528, its highest level since January.
In June, there were 14% fewer homes that came on the market compared to 5-year
average between 2015 to 2019 (2020 was skewed do to COVID-19), 557 less. Last
year, there were 4,645 homes on the market, 2,117
additional homes, or 84% more.
Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, decreased
by 145 pending sales in the past two-weeks, down 5%, and now totals 2,761, its
lowest level since February. Last year, there were 3,050 pending sales, 10%
more than today, due to a delayed Spring Market.
With an increase in the supply and a drop in demand, the Expected
Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange
County listings at the current buying pace, increased from 25 to 27 days
in the past couple of weeks, its highest level since February, but still an
extremely Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days). It was at 46 days last year
and getting hotter.
For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a Hot Seller’s
Market (less than 60 days) with an Expected Market Time of 21 days. This range
represents 28% of the active inventory and 37% of demand.
For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the Expected
Market Time is 22 days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 21% of the
active inventory and 27% of demand.
For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the Expected
Market Time is 22 days, a Hot Seller’s Market.
For homes priced between $1.25 million to $1.5 million, the
Expected Market Time is 28 days, a Hot Seller’s Market.
For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2
million, the Expected Market Time increased from 29 to 30 days. For homes
priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased
from 57 to 55 days. For homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time
increased from 144 to 168 days.
The luxury end, all homes above $1.5 million, accounts for 34%
of the inventory and 16% of demand.
Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined,
made up only 0.3% of all listings and 0.4% of demand. There are only 4
foreclosures and 3 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange
County, 7 total distressed homes on the active market, down 3 from two-weeks
ago. Last year there were 29 total distressed homes on the market, slightly more
than today.
There
were 3,545 closed residential resales in June, 63% more than June 2020’s 2,169
closed sales. June marked a 10% increase compared to May 2021. The sales to
list price ratio was 101.4% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted
for just 0.1% of all closed sales, and
short sales accounted for 0.1%. That means that 99.8% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.
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