Orange County Housing Market Summary 3-27-19
David Deem
714-997-3486
• The active listing inventory increased by 166 homes in the past two weeks, up 3%, and now totals 6,532. Last year, there were 4,609 homes on the market, 1,923 fewer than today. There are 42% more homes than last year.
• So far this year, 4% fewer homes came on the market below $500,000 compared to 2018, and there were 15% fewer closed sales. Fewer and fewer homes and condominiums are now priced below $500,000. This price range is continuing to vanish.
• Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 78 pending sales in the past two-weeks, up 3%, and now totals 2,350, its lowest level for this time of the year since 2014. Last year, there were 2,538 pending sales, 8% more than today.
• The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County decreased from 84 days two weeks ago to 83 days today, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 to 90 days) and the highest level for this time of the year since 2011. It was at 54 days last year.
• For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days) with an expected market time of 64 days. This range represents 42% of the active inventory and 54% of demand.
• For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 66 days, a slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 18% of the active inventory and 22% of demand.
• For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 85 days, a slight Seller’s Market.
• For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the expected market time increased from 95 to 103 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the expected market time increased from 140 to 146 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the expected market time decreased from 245 to 230 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the expected market time decreased from 650 to 562 days.
• The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 32% of the inventory and only 16% of demand.
• Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.8% of all listings and 1.8% of demand. There are only 19 foreclosures and 30 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 49 total distressed homes on the active market, down two from two-weeks ago. Last year there were 39 total distressed homes on the market, slightly less than today.
• There were 1,543 closed residential resales in February, 15% fewer than February 2018’s 1,820 closed sales. February marked a 6% increase from January 2019. The sales to list price ratio was 97.4% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.3% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.6%. That means that 99.1% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.
DRE# 01266522
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