Orange County Housing Summary: February 10, 2022
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The
active listing inventory increased by 190 homes, up 18%, and now totals 1,270
homes, its lowest level for this time of the year since tracking began 18 years
ago. In January, there were 20% fewer homes that came on the market compared to
the 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019), 617 fewer. Last year, there were 2,493 homes on the market, 1,223
additional homes, or 96% more.
·
Demand,
the number of pending sales over the prior month, surged by 257 pending sales
in the past two weeks, up 18%, and now totals 1,683. Last year, there were 2,590
pending sales, 54% more than today due to the impact of COVID on housing.
The 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019) was 2,160, or 28% more.
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With supply and demand increasing at the same rate, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange County listings at
the current buying pace, remained unchanged at 23 days in the past
couple of weeks, an insanely Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days). It was at
29 days last year, similar to today.
·
For
homes priced below $750,000, the market is a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60
days) with an Expected Market Time of 18 days. This range represents 25% of the
active inventory and 31% of demand.
·
For
homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the Expected Market Time is 16
days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 19% of the active inventory
and 26% of demand.
·
For
homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the Expected Market Time is 17
days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 9% of the active inventory
and 12% of demand.
·
For
homes priced between $1.25 million to $1.5 million, the Expected Market Time is
21 days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 9% of the active
inventory and 9% of demand.
·
For
homes priced between $1.5 million to $2 million, the Expected Market Time is 22
days, a Hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 8% of the active inventory
and 9% of demand.
·
For homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected
Market remained unchanged at 34 days. For homes priced between $4 million and
$8 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 74 to 79 days. For homes
priced above $8 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 172 to 219
days.
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The
luxury end, all homes above $2 million, accounts for 31% of the inventory and 13%
of demand.
·
Distressed
homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.2% of all
listings and 0.2% of demand. There are only 3 foreclosure and no short sale
available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 3 total distressed homes
on the active market, up 1 from two weeks ago. Last year there were 4 total
distressed homes on the market, similar to today.
·
There were 2,486 closed
residential resales in December, 20% less than December 2020’s 3,091 closed
sales. For the year, through December, there have been 35,180 closed sales, 16%
higher than 2020 and the most sales since 2005. December marked a 3% drop
compared to November 2021. The sales to list price ratio was 101.1% for all of
Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.2% of all closed sales, and there were no closed short sales. That
means that 99.8% of all sales were good ol’
fashioned sellers with equity.
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