Orange County Housing Market Summary: June 16, 2020

David Deem

714-997-3486

Dave@DeemTeam.com

The active listing inventory decreased by 94 homes in the past two-weeks, down 2%, and now totals 4,950. Since March, there have been 33% fewer homes that have come on the market compared to the prior 5-year average. That is 4,580 fewer FOR-SALE signs. COVID-19 is still suppressing the supply of homes. Last year, there were 7,493 homes on the market, 2,543 more than today, a 51% difference.

Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 494 pending sales in the past two-weeks, up 24%, and now totals 2,529. It has grown by 56% in only 4 weeks. COVID-19’s effect on housing has vanished. Last year, there were 2,529 pending sales, 5% more than today.

The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County decreased from 74 days to 59, a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days). The drop was due to the surge in demand and a subsequent drop in the supply. It was at 84 days last year, much slower than today.

For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an expected market time of 41 days. This range represents 35% of the active inventory and 50% of demand.

For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 42 days, a hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 18% of the active inventory and 25% of demand.

For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 70 days, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days).

For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time decreased from 98 to 89 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 116 to 96 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 258 to 175 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 455 to 315 days.

The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 36% of the inventory and only 16% of demand.

Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.5% of all listings and 1% of demand. There are only 9 foreclosure s and 15 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 24 total distressed homes on the active market, down 14 from two-weeks ago. Last year there were 53 total distressed homes on the market, slightly more than today.

There were 1,386 closed residential resales in May, 53% fewer than April 2019’s 2,941 closed sales. This is entirely due to COVID-19 suppressing both supply and demand. May marked a 19% drop compared to April 2020. The sales to list price ratio was 95.4% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.6% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.4%. That means that 99% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

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