Orange County Housing Market Summary: November 5, 2019

David Deem

714-997-3486

Dave@DeemTeam.com

• The active listing inventory decreased by 491 homes in the past two-weeks, down 8%, and now totals 5,921, its lowest level since January and the largest drop of the year. Last year, there were 7,231 homes on the market, 1,310 more than today.

• Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 24 pending sales in the past two-weeks, up 1%, and now totals 2,275. Last year, there were 1,857 pending sales, 18% fewer than today.

• The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County dropped from 85 days to 78, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 to 90 days). It was at 117 days last year and climbing, a much slower market.

• For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an expected market time of 53 days. This range represents 38% of the active inventory and 56% of demand.

• For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 60 days, also a hot Seller’s Market. This range represents 18% of the active inventory and 24% of demand.

• For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 100 days, a Balanced Market.

• For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time decreased from 118 to 93 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 200 to 159 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 316 to 317 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 619 to 825 days.

• The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 35% of the inventory and only 12% of demand.

• Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.9% of all listings and 1.1% of demand. There are only 24 foreclosures and 30 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 54 total distressed homes on the active market, down one in the past two-weeks. Last year there were 66 total distressed homes on the market, slightly more than today.

• There were 2,564 closed residential resales in September, 22% more than September 2018’s 2,090 closed sales. September marked a 10% drop compared to August 2019. The sales to list price ratio was 97.2% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.2% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.3%. That means that 99.5% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

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