Orange County Housing Market Summary: June 23, 2019

David Deem
714-997-3486


The active listing inventory increased by 14 homes in the past two weeks, nearly unchanged, and now totals 7,493, the highest level since September 2014. Last year, there were 6,105 homes on the market, 1,388 fewer than today. There are 23% more homes than last year.

Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 15 pending sales in the past two-weeks, up 1%, and now totals 2,661. Last year, there were 2,699 pending sales, 1% more than today.

The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County decreased from 85 days two weeks ago to 84 days today, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 to 90 days) and the highest level for this time of the year since 2011. It was at 68 days last year.

For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days) with an expected market time of 61 days. This range represents 39% of the active inventory and 54% of demand.

For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 70 days, a slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 18% of the active inventory and 22% of demand.

For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 92 days, a Balanced Market.

For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time increased from 107 to 118 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 167 to 149 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 302 to 254 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 419 to 441 days.

The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 34% of the inventory and only 16% of demand.

Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.7% of all listings and 1.4% of demand. There are only 21 foreclosures and 32 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 53 total distressed homes on the active market, down 12 in the last two-weeks. Last year there were 50 total distressed homes on the market, nearly identical to today.

There were 2,929 closed residential resales in May, 2% more than May 2018’s 2,870 closed sales. April marked a 15% increase from April 2019. The sales to list price ratio was 97.6% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.8% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.6%. That means that 98.6% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

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